Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 96024.351617 101220.760533 106413.002410 111986.908366 117797.633188 123673.120380 130059.596763
2025-10-05 88216.970349 96224.054220 104444.085811 113502.904802 123195.180195 133243.522980 144437.714588
2025-10-12 82683.616753 92653.916760 103108.938405 114867.966189 127703.045863 141265.169215 156656.545911
2025-10-19 78050.513266 89472.859104 101665.688531 115613.711720 131091.054804 147701.754465 166839.049956
2025-10-26 73888.744618 86421.172173 100010.334882 115787.795100 133547.439004 152865.251345 175410.691685
2025-11-02 70536.957326 84008.832218 98823.807235 116253.530052 136123.625473 157994.577570 183810.549716
2025-11-09 67331.236838 81553.367585 97398.913660 116269.831125 138034.695306 162251.394835 191131.665365
2025-11-16 65196.337093 80190.868064 97096.559263 117453.454953 141179.456402 167834.996108 199916.755246
2025-11-23 62547.453583 78089.894880 95816.002508 117388.997516 142786.287783 171584.439979 206548.742100
2025-11-30 61069.606557 77287.742202 95978.531777 118945.162915 146228.635317 177422.782614 215592.220917
2025-12-07 59426.061563 76203.743981 95735.301302 119957.852862 148983.540345 182432.913698 223666.170560
2025-12-14 57398.119925 74568.365873 94756.940541 120022.924686 150556.865737 186016.846843 230044.770984
2025-12-21 55497.188871 73039.831519 93871.209135 120177.059126 152234.438959 189746.598404 236652.159588
2025-12-28 54577.854743 72686.248927 94384.153016 122008.853231 155928.948027 195892.737410 246181.684344
2026-01-04 53557.915281 72160.876171 94648.652948 123507.512187 159204.014328 201539.483719 255139.740910
2026-01-11 52264.727927 71239.660951 94379.333530 124310.084341 161602.221744 206119.222749 262821.639330
2026-01-18 50754.109028 69987.924962 93649.803352 124497.305672 163209.369050 209720.031557 269314.312386
2026-01-25 49471.185276 68984.682050 93193.513118 124992.076898 165172.589583 213744.104640 276330.075667
2026-02-01 48038.939111 67740.755508 92389.677176 125009.496898 166509.668041 216981.546506 282378.513189
2026-02-08 47232.393011 67288.518465 92574.211298 126265.445546 169394.695704 222136.491555 290818.280294
2026-02-15 45888.714424 66083.840654 91751.513873 126197.060464 170578.262022 225162.743965 296616.318744
2026-02-22 45342.975576 65924.121793 92269.738331 127848.084991 173949.827355 230935.211865 305872.543787
2026-03-01 44582.719050 65450.039210 92355.867193 128922.381219 176576.480127 235778.215025 313987.078869